Nationals at Braves
Last play · Conner Capel grounds out, shortstop Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Juan Yepez.
Win probability
Braves0%
WSH 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 3 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -190
Braves favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jared McKenzie homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Nasim Nuñez scores. (inning 8) — -39% Nationals
8Jared McKenzie homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Nasim Nuñez scores.5–3
8Nasim Nuñez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. Robert Hassell III scores.3–3
4Drake Baldwin singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Michael Harris II scores.2–3
4Marcell Ozuna homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Matt Olson scores.2–2
4Juan Yepez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Stone Garrett scores.2–0
4Stone Garrett singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake Marisnick. James Wood scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
