Phillies at Braves
Last play · Erick Brito called out on strikes.
Win probability
Braves100%
PHI 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 7 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -225
Braves favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Óscar Mercado. Matt Olson scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd. (inning 4) — +13% Braves
5Chadwick Tromp singles on a line drive to right fielder Óscar Mercado. Ozzie Albies scores. Michael Harris II scores.0–7
5Marcell Ozuna homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Austin Riley scores.0–5
4Chadwick Tromp grounds out, second baseman Christian Arroyo to first baseman Buddy Kennedy. Ozzie Albies scores. Michael Harris II to 2nd.0–3
4Michael Harris II singles on a fly ball to left fielder Cal Stevenson. Marcell Ozuna scores. Ozzie Albies to 3rd.0–2
4Ozzie Albies doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Óscar Mercado. Matt Olson scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
