Phillies at Nationals
Last play · Alec Bohm lines out to second baseman Luis García Jr.
Win probability
Nationals100%
PHI 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 3 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Nationals favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Bell homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Keibert Ruiz scores. Nathaniel Lowe scores. (inning 4) — +29% Nationals
9Rafael Marchán grounds into a force out, second baseman Luis García Jr. to shortstop CJ Abrams. Edmundo Sosa scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd. Kody Clemens out at 2nd. Rafael Marchán to 1st.1–5
6Nathaniel Lowe homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Keibert Ruiz scores.0–5
4Josh Bell homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Keibert Ruiz scores. Nathaniel Lowe scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
