Rockies at Rays
Last play · Mickey Moniak strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays100%
COL 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 2 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Rays favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Junior Caminero singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar, deflected by second baseman Tyler Freeman. Jonathan Aranda scores. Taylor Walls to 3rd. Junior Caminero to 2nd. (inning 6) — +19% Rays
7Mickey Moniak homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Nick Martini scores.4–6
6Ben Rortvedt reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Ryan McMahon. José Caballero scores.2–6
6José Caballero singles on a soft bunt ground ball to catcher Jacob Stallings. Taylor Walls scores. Junior Caminero scores. José Caballero to 2nd. Throwing error by catcher Jacob Stallings.2–5
6Junior Caminero singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar, deflected by second baseman Tyler Freeman. Jonathan Aranda scores. Taylor Walls to 3rd. Junior Caminero to 2nd.2–3
6Hunter Goodman singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Kameron Misner. Tyler Freeman scores. Brenton Doyle to 3rd.2–2
5Nick Martini singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jake Mangum. Michael Toglia scores.1–2
1Brandon Lowe homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Yandy Díaz scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
