Pirates at Marlins
Last play · Wild pitch by pitcher David Bednar. Derek Hill scores.
Win probability
Marlins100%
PIT 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 2 – 1 MIA
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Marlins favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Griffin Conine homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 7) — +23% Marlins
9Wild pitch by pitcher David Bednar. Derek Hill scores.2–3
7Griffin Conine homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
5Isiah Kiner-Falefa singles on a ground ball to shortstop Xavier Edwards. Endy Rodríguez scores.2–1
2Nick Fortes doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Derek Hill scores.1–1
2Andrew McCutchen homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
