Twins at Cardinals
Last play · Willi Castro pops out to shortstop Masyn Winn.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
MIN 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 8 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Cardinals favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Victor Scott II homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Nolan Gorman scores. Pedro Pagés scores. (inning 2) — +35% Cardinals
7Nolan Gorman homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.2–9
4Willi Castro homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.2–8
3Pedro Pagés homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Alec Burleson scores. Nolan Gorman scores.1–8
3Alec Burleson doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Brendan Donovan scores. Nolan Arenado scores.1–5
2Victor Scott II homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Nolan Gorman scores. Pedro Pagés scores.1–3
1Byron Buxton singles on a fly ball to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Matt Wallner scores. Byron Buxton to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
