Rangers at Reds
Last play · Leody Taveras flies out to shortstop Elly De La Cruz.
Win probability
Reds100%
TEX 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 6 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Reds favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt McLain homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. TJ Friedl scores. (inning 1) — +17% Reds
9Jake Burger homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Kevin Pillar scores.3–14
8Leody Taveras grounds out, third baseman Santiago Espinal to first baseman Jeimer Candelario. Josh Smith scores.1–14
7Elly De La Cruz homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Matt McLain scores.0–14
6Jake Fraley singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Christian Encarnacion-Strand scores. Spencer Steer to 2nd.0–12
6Spencer Steer singles on a ground ball to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz scores. Christian Encarnacion-Strand to 2nd.0–11
6Elly De La Cruz doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Jose Trevino scores. TJ Friedl scores. Matt McLain to 3rd.0–9
6Matt McLain singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Jake Fraley scores. Jose Trevino to 3rd. TJ Friedl to 2nd.0–7
2Elly De La Cruz homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Jose Trevino scores. Matt McLain scores.0–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
