Guardians at Royals
Last play · Bobby Witt Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Royals0%
CLE 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 0 KC
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Royals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Manzardo homers (2) on a line drive to right field. Steven Kwan scores. (inning 5) — -20% Guardians
8Hunter Renfroe walks. Jonathan India scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd. Vinnie Pasquantino to 2nd.6–2
8Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Dairon Blanco scores. Jonathan India to 2nd.6–1
8Daniel Schneemann homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.6–0
6Steven Kwan grounds into a force out, pitcher Chris Stratton to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Daniel Schneemann scores. Brayan Rocchio out at 2nd. Steven Kwan to 1st.5–0
6Gabriel Arias homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.4–0
5Kyle Manzardo homers (2) on a line drive to right field. Steven Kwan scores.3–0
2Gabriel Arias out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Carlos Santana scores. Nolan Jones to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
