Mets at Marlins
Last play · Derek Hill strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Marlins0%
NYM 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 8 – 1 MIA
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-190 / +160
Marlins favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Alonso hits a grand slam (1) to right field. Jose Siri scores. Starling Marte scores. Juan Soto scores. (inning 5) — -29% Mets
9Eric Wagaman singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Griffin Conine scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd.10–4
9Otto Lopez singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jose Siri. Graham Pauley scores. Griffin Conine to 2nd.10–3
6Eric Wagaman homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.10–2
6Brandon Nimmo homers (1) on a line drive to center field. Pete Alonso scores.10–1
5Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Luis Torrens homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Mark Vientos scores.8–1
5Pete Alonso hits a grand slam (1) to right field. Jose Siri scores. Starling Marte scores. Juan Soto scores.6–1
5Jose Siri doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dane Myers. Luisangel Acuña scores.2–1
3Starling Marte homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
