Nationals at Blue Jays
Last play · Dylan Crews strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
WSH 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 4 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrés Giménez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 2) — +15% Blue Jays
8George Springer singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Andrés Giménez scores. Alejandro Kirk to 2nd.2–5
6James Wood homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–4
6CJ Abrams homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–4
4Nathan Lukes grounds into a force out, third baseman Paul DeJong to shortstop CJ Abrams. Alejandro Kirk scores. Will Wagner out at 2nd. Nathan Lukes to 1st.0–4
4Alejandro Kirk doubles (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Andrés Giménez scores.0–3
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (2) on a fly ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Alan Roden scores.0–2
2Andrés Giménez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
