Guardians at Padres
Last play · Austin Hedges grounds out softly, pitcher Wandy Peralta to first baseman Luis Arraez.
Win probability
Padres100%
CLE 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 7 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Padres favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gavin Sheets doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Jackson Merrill scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd. (inning 2) — +25% Padres
5Jason Heyward doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. Gavin Sheets scores.2–7
5Gavin Sheets doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Jake Cronenworth scores. Xander Bogaerts scores.2–6
3Austin Hedges homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–4
2Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Gavin Sheets scores.1–4
2Jason Heyward out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Xander Bogaerts scores. Gavin Sheets to 3rd.1–3
2Gavin Sheets doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Jackson Merrill scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.1–2
1José Ramírez homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
