Tigers at Mariners
Last play · Jorge Polanco lines out to third baseman Javier Báez.
Win probability
Mariners0%
DET 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 8 – 4 SEA
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Mariners favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kerry Carpenter singles on a line drive to right fielder Victor Robles. Justyn-Henry Malloy scores. (inning 1) — -12% Tigers
9Cal Raleigh homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Julio Rodríguez scores.9–6
7Justyn-Henry Malloy singles on a ground ball to third baseman Jorge Polanco. Dillon Dingler scores. Javier Báez to 2nd.9–4
5Jorge Polanco singles on a line drive to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Julio Rodríguez scores.8–4
4Luke Raley homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.8–3
4Dillon Dingler singles on a line drive to right fielder Victor Robles. Colt Keith scores.8–2
3Julio Rodríguez grounds out sharply, third baseman Javier Báez to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. J.P. Crawford scores.7–2
3Kerry Carpenter doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Justyn-Henry Malloy scores.7–1
2Randy Arozarena homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.6–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
