Pirates at Rays
Last play · Ke'Bryan Hayes strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays100%
PIT 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 6 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Rays favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Mangum doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Yandy Díaz scores. Brandon Lowe scores. (inning 1) — +17% Rays
8Brandon Lowe singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jack Suwinski. Jonny DeLuca scores.0–7
4Brandon Lowe homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Yandy Díaz scores.0–6
3Kameron Misner out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jack Suwinski. Jake Mangum scores. Curtis Mead to 3rd.0–4
1Kameron Misner singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Jake Mangum scores. Kameron Misner to 2nd. Kameron Misner advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by center fielder Oneil Cruz.0–3
1Jake Mangum doubles (2) on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Yandy Díaz scores. Brandon Lowe scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
