Royals at Brewers
Last play · Kyle Isbel strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Brewers100%
KC 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 2 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Brewers favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Yelich grounds into a force out, second baseman Michael Massey to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Brice Turang scores. Jackson Chourio out at 2nd. Christian Yelich advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. (inning 3) — +12% Brewers
8Christian Yelich homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.0–5
6Vinny Capra grounds into a force out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to second baseman Michael Massey. William Contreras scores. Rhys Hoskins out at 2nd. Vinny Capra to 1st.0–4
6Rhys Hoskins singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Christian Yelich scores. William Contreras to 3rd. Throwing error by center fielder Kyle Isbel.0–3
3Christian Yelich grounds into a force out, second baseman Michael Massey to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Brice Turang scores. Jackson Chourio out at 2nd. Christian Yelich advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.0–2
3Eric Haase homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
