Rangers at Reds
Last play · Elly De La Cruz grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Jake Burger.
Win probability
Reds0%
TEX 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 0 CIN
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Reds favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Smith doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Joc Pederson scores. (inning 4) — -14% Rangers
4Josh Smith doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Joc Pederson scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
