Pirates at Rays
Last play · Christopher Morel flies out to right fielder Jack Suwinski.
Win probability
Rays0%
PIT 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 2 – 0 TB
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 56.6% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Rays favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe grounds out, second baseman Adam Frazier to first baseman Jared Triolo. Jonny DeLuca scores. (inning 6) — +16% Rays
9Oneil Cruz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.4–2
8Jonny DeLuca singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Taylor Walls scores.3–2
8Endy Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to right fielder José Caballero. Jack Suwinski scores.3–1
6Brandon Lowe grounds out, second baseman Adam Frazier to first baseman Jared Triolo. Jonny DeLuca scores.2–1
5Oneil Cruz homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
2Adam Frazier singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Jared Triolo scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
