Giants at Astros
Last play · Yordan Alvarez grounds out, first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr. to pitcher Camilo Doval.
Win probability
Astros0%
SF 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 5 – 3 HOU
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Astros favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wilmer Flores homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Willy Adames scores. (inning 1) — -22% Giants
8LaMonte Wade Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.6–3
5Yordan Alvarez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Chas McCormick scores. Jose Altuve scores. Isaac Paredes to 3rd.5–3
2Zach Dezenzo singles on a line drive to center fielder Luis Matos. Jeremy Peña scores. Brendan Rodgers to 2nd.5–1
2Heliot Ramos doubles (3) on a fly ball to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Tyler Fitzgerald scores.5–0
2Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Luis Matos homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.3–0
1Wilmer Flores homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Willy Adames scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
