Red Sox at Orioles
Last play · Cedric Mullins called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles0%
BOS 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 5 – 3 BAL
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Orioles favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Bregman homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Rafael Devers scores. (inning 1) — -22% Red Sox
9Dylan Carlson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Jackson Holliday scores.8–4
9Alex Bregman doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Rafael Devers scores.8–3
7Triston Casas homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Alex Bregman scores.7–3
4Ramón Urías singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Heston Kjerstad scores.5–3
4Jarren Duran out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Wilyer Abreu scores.5–2
3Jordan Westburg singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Cedric Mullins scores. Adley Rutschman to 2nd.4–2
2Kristian Campbell homers (2) on a line drive to left field. Wilyer Abreu scores.4–1
1Cedric Mullins homers (3) on a line drive to right field.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
