Reds at Brewers
Last play · Gavin Lux called out on strikes.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CIN 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 1 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Brewers favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sal Frelick singles on a ground ball to right fielder Blake Dunn. Jackson Chourio scores. William Contreras to 3rd. (inning 4) — +13% Brewers
4Sal Frelick singles on a ground ball to right fielder Blake Dunn. Jackson Chourio scores. William Contreras to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
