D-backs at Nationals
Last play · Dylan Crews grounds out, third baseman Eugenio Suárez to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Nationals0%
AZ 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 4 – 3 WSH
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +135
Nationals favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randal Grichuk doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Garrett Hampson scores. (inning 7) — -31% D-backs
7Randal Grichuk doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Garrett Hampson scores.6–4
6Nathaniel Lowe homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.4–4
5Corbin Carroll homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Geraldo Perdomo scores.4–3
3Corbin Carroll homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.2–3
1Luis García Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Nathaniel Lowe scores.1–3
1CJ Abrams homers (3) on a line drive to right center field.1–1
1Josh Naylor singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Garrett Hampson scores. Josh Naylor out at 2nd on the throw, center fielder Jacob Young to shortstop CJ Abrams.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
