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Padres at Cubs

SD1CHC7
Final
Inn123456789RHE
SD000000100182
CHC02110300·7110
Last play · Brandon Lockridge grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Cubs100%
SD 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
SD 04 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Inning 2: Carson Kelly singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.Inning 2: Kyle Tucker walks. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd. Ian Happ to 2nd.Inning 3: Dansby Swanson homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.Inning 4: Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Michael Busch scores. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.Inning 6: Carson Kelly homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Nico Hoerner scores. Matt Shaw scores.Inning 7: Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Brandon Lockridge scores. Elias Díaz to 2nd.
Cubs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Carson Kelly singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Lockridge. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd. (inning 2) — +10% Cubs

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.