Yankees at Pirates
Last play · Joey Bart called out on strikes.
Win probability
Pirates0%
NYY 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 8 – 4 PIT
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Pirates favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trent Grisham homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Jasson Domínguez scores. Oswald Peraza scores. (inning 5) — -41% Yankees
9Austin Wells out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tommy Pham. Aaron Judge scores.10–4
8Paul Goldschmidt singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Oswald Peraza scores.9–4
5Anthony Volpe doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Paul Goldschmidt scores. Ben Rice scores. Aaron Judge scores.8–4
5Trent Grisham homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Jasson Domínguez scores. Oswald Peraza scores.5–4
4Endy Rodríguez grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Jack Suwinski scores. Enmanuel Valdez to 3rd.2–4
4Enmanuel Valdez doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Oneil Cruz scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Jack Suwinski to 3rd.2–3
4Ke'Bryan Hayes doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Bryan Reynolds scores. Oneil Cruz to 3rd.2–1
3Trent Grisham homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
