Cardinals at Red Sox
Last play · Wilyer Abreu singles on a fly ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Alex Bregman scores. Triston Casas to 2nd.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
STL 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 2 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Red Sox favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rafael Devers walks. Wilyer Abreu scores. Romy Gonzalez to 3rd. Connor Wong to 2nd. (inning 9) — +42% Red Sox
10Wilyer Abreu singles on a fly ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Alex Bregman scores. Triston Casas to 2nd.4–5
9Rafael Devers walks. Wilyer Abreu scores. Romy Gonzalez to 3rd. Connor Wong to 2nd.4–4
9Romy Gonzalez doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Trevor Story scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd.4–3
8Pedro Pagés doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kristian Campbell. Victor Scott II scores. Masyn Winn scores.4–2
6Pedro Pagés hits a ground-rule double (2) on a line drive to right field. Thomas Saggese scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd.2–2
5Rafael Devers homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
4David Hamilton singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Rob Refsnyder scores.1–1
4Masyn Winn singles on a ground ball to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Jordan Walker scores. Victor Scott II to 3rd. Masyn Winn to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
