Orioles at Royals
Last play · Maikel Garcia grounds out, third baseman Ramón Urías to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle.
Win probability
Royals0%
BAL 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 0 KC
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Royals favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gary Sánchez singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Tyler O'Neill scores. (inning 2) — -24% Orioles
7Tyler O'Neill triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Jordan Westburg scores. Cedric Mullins scores.8–1
6Bobby Witt Jr. homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.6–1
6Jackson Holliday singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Heston Kjerstad scores. Ramón Urías scores. Gary Sánchez to 3rd.6–0
6Ramón Urías singles on a ground ball to second baseman Maikel Garcia, deflected by pitcher Sam Long. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Heston Kjerstad to 3rd.4–0
6Heston Kjerstad singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Cedric Mullins scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 2nd.3–0
2Gary Sánchez singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Ryan Mountcastle scores. Tyler O'Neill scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
