Mariners at Giants
Last play · J.P. Crawford grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr.
Win probability
Giants100%
SEA 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 2 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Giants favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Chapman doubles (1) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena, deflected by third baseman Dylan Moore. Jung Hoo Lee scores. (inning 4) — +13% Giants
6Wilmer Flores singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Matt Chapman scores. Mike Yastrzemski to 2nd.1–4
6Matt Chapman doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Victor Robles. Jung Hoo Lee scores.1–3
5Dylan Moore homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
4Mike Yastrzemski singles on a fly ball to right fielder Victor Robles. Matt Chapman scores.0–2
4Matt Chapman doubles (1) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena, deflected by third baseman Dylan Moore. Jung Hoo Lee scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
