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Padres at Cubs

SD8CHC7
Final
Inn123456789RHE
SD3002100118130
CHC520000000762
Last play · Justin Turner strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs0%
SD 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
SD 67 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Inning 1: Jake Cronenworth hit by pitch. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd. Manny Machado to 2nd.Inning 1: Xander Bogaerts singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Ben Brown. Luis Arraez scores. Manny Machado to 3rd. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd.Inning 1: Jason Heyward walks. Manny Machado scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd.Inning 1: Kyle Tucker singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Ian Happ scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.Inning 1: Justin Turner out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Seiya Suzuki scores.Inning 1: Nico Hoerner doubles (1) on a ground ball to shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Kyle Tucker scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd.Inning 1: Carson Kelly lines out to shortstop Xander Bogaerts.Inning 2: Kyle Tucker homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Ian Happ scores.Inning 4: Jackson Merrill homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Manny Machado scores.Inning 5: Luis Arraez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Elias Díaz scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd.Inning 8: Gavin Sheets singles on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Jackson Merrill scores.Inning 9: Manny Machado grounds into a force out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Luis Arraez out at 2nd. Manny Machado to 1st. Missed catch error by first baseman Justin Turner, assist to second baseman Nico Hoerner.
Cubs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Manny Machado grounds into a force out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Luis Arraez out at 2nd. Manny Machado to 1st. Missed catch error by first baseman Justin Turner, assist to second baseman Nico Hoerner. (inning 9) — -33% Padres

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.