Orioles at Royals
Last play · Ryan Mountcastle lines out to second baseman Michael Massey.
Win probability
Royals100%
BAL 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 4 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Royals favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Massey doubles (3) on a fly ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Salvador Perez scores. Mark Canha scores. (inning 1) — +16% Royals
7Gary Sánchez strikes out on a foul tip.1–4
2Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Maikel Garcia scores. Freddy Fermin out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Ramón Laureano to second baseman Jordan Westburg.0–4
1Michael Massey doubles (3) on a fly ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Salvador Perez scores. Mark Canha scores.0–3
1Vinnie Pasquantino out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
