Reds at Brewers
Last play · Spencer Steer grounds out, shortstop Joey Ortiz to first baseman Jake Bauers.
Win probability
Brewers100%
CIN 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 7 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Brewers favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oliver Dunn out on a sacrifice bunt to first baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand. Jake Bauers scores. (inning 4) — +13% Brewers
8TJ Friedl singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Jake Fraley scores.2–8
7Jackson Chourio homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.1–8
5Spencer Steer homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–7
4Jackson Chourio homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Eric Haase scores. Brice Turang scores.0–7
4Oliver Dunn out on a sacrifice bunt to first baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand. Jake Bauers scores.0–4
3Christian Yelich singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Brice Turang scores.0–2
3Jackson Chourio out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jake Fraley. Oliver Dunn scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
