Last play · Christian Vázquez called out on strikes.
Win probability
Twins0%
HOU 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
HOU 4 – 7 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-105 / -115
Twins favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yordan Alvarez homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Isaac Paredes scores. (inning 9) — -44% Astros
10Isaac Paredes called out on strikes.9–7
10Jose Altuve singles on a ground ball to left fielder Harrison Bader. Brendan Rodgers scores. Jake Meyers to 3rd.8–7
9Yordan Alvarez homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Isaac Paredes scores.7–7
6Isaac Paredes singles on a fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Brendan Rodgers scores. Jake Meyers to 3rd.5–7
5Jeremy Peña lines out sharply to left fielder Harrison Bader. Jose Altuve scores.4–7
5Isaac Paredes singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Harrison Bader. Jake Meyers scores. Jose Altuve to 2nd.3–7
5Twins challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: Jose Altuve reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Willi Castro. Zach Dezenzo scores.2–7
4Trevor Larnach doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Zach Dezenzo. Carlos Correa scores. Byron Buxton scores.1–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.