Marlins at Mets
Last play · Griffin Conine flies out sharply to center fielder Tyrone Taylor.
Win probability
Mets100%
MIA 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 1 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+230 / -285
Mets favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Vientos walks. (inning 8) — +12% Mets
8Tyrone Taylor singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dane Myers. Jose Siri scores.0–2
3Juan Soto doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Dane Myers. Francisco Lindor scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
