Cardinals at Pirates
Last play · Willson Contreras strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates100%
STL 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 4 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Pirates favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isiah Kiner-Falefa singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Tommy Pham scores. Endy Rodríguez scores. (inning 2) — +16% Pirates
9Masyn Winn homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.4–8
8Jordan Walker grounds out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to first baseman Endy Rodríguez. Brendan Donovan scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.3–8
7Oneil Cruz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Siani. Joey Bart scores.2–8
7Cardinals challenged (fan interference), call on the field was overturned: Joey Bart triples (1) to center field, on fan interference. Andrew McCutchen scores.2–7
7Andrew McCutchen doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.2–6
6Yohel Pozo homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–4
5Brendan Donovan singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Michael Siani scores. Willson Contreras to 3rd.1–4
2Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
