Twins at Royals
Last play · Edouard Julien grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Royals100%
MIN 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 3 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Royals favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Isbel singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Jose F Miranda. MJ Melendez scores. Maikel Garcia to 2nd. (inning 2) — +10% Royals
9Harrison Bader singles on a line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Ty France scores. Willi Castro to 2nd.2–4
6Kyle Isbel homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–4
2Bobby Witt Jr. grounds into a force out, shortstop Carlos Correa to second baseman Willi Castro. Maikel Garcia scores. Kyle Isbel out at 2nd. Bobby Witt Jr. to 1st.1–3
2Kyle Isbel singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Jose F Miranda. MJ Melendez scores. Maikel Garcia to 2nd.1–2
2Willi Castro doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Ty France scores.1–1
1Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Harrison Bader. Jonathan India scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
