Rangers at Cubs
Last play · Leody Taveras pops out to third baseman Gage Workman.
Win probability
Cubs100%
TEX 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Cubs favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ian Happ reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Jake Burger. Jon Berti scores. (inning 3) — +12% Cubs
6Seiya Suzuki singles on a line drive to center fielder Kevin Pillar. Kyle Tucker scores.0–7
6Kyle Tucker singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Ian Happ scores. Kyle Tucker to 2nd.0–6
6Ian Happ singles on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Miguel Amaya scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.0–5
5Michael Busch triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Seiya Suzuki scores.0–3
3Ian Happ reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Jake Burger. Jon Berti scores.0–2
2Miguel Amaya out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kevin Pillar. Michael Busch scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
