Cardinals at Pirates
Last play · Tommy Pham lines out sharply to right fielder Jordan Walker.
Win probability
Pirates0%
STL 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 3 – 1 PIT
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Pirates favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Victor Scott II triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Pedro Pagés scores. Masyn Winn scores. (inning 3) — -26% Cardinals
9Joey Bart doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Victor Scott II. Bryan Reynolds scores.5–3
9Andrew McCutchen grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson. Alexander Canario scores.5–2
6Pedro Pagés grounds out, second baseman Adam Frazier to first baseman Enmanuel Valdez. Nolan Arenado scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.5–1
6Alec Burleson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tommy Pham. Brendan Donovan scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd.4–1
4Bryan Reynolds homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
3Brendan Donovan singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jack Suwinski. Victor Scott II scores.3–0
3Victor Scott II triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Pedro Pagés scores. Masyn Winn scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
