Phillies at Braves
Last play · Alec Bohm pops out to third baseman Austin Riley.
Win probability
Braves100%
PHI 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 5 – 3 ATL
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Braves favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sean Murphy homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Austin Riley scores. Jarred Kelenic scores. (inning 2) — +35% Braves
8Marcell Ozuna reaches on a fielder's choice out, third baseman Alec Bohm to shortstop Trea Turner to third baseman Alec Bohm. Ozzie Albies out at 3rd.5–7
7Austin Riley doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Marcell Ozuna scores.5–6
6Michael Harris II out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Edmundo Sosa. Jarred Kelenic scores.5–5
6Sean Murphy singles on a ground ball to left fielder Edmundo Sosa. Bryan De La Cruz scores. Jarred Kelenic to 2nd.5–4
5Kyle Schwarber homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.5–3
3Nick Castellanos doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Kyle Schwarber scores.4–3
3Kyle Schwarber triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jarred Kelenic. Trea Turner scores. Bryce Harper scores.3–3
2Sean Murphy homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Austin Riley scores. Jarred Kelenic scores.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
