Astros at Mariners
Last play · Jake Meyers grounds out, second baseman Miles Mastrobuoni to first baseman Rowdy Tellez.
Win probability
Mariners100%
HOU 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 2 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Mariners favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Polanco singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers, deflected by pitcher Bryan Abreu. Dylan Moore scores. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. (inning 8) — +61% Mariners
8Jorge Polanco singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers, deflected by pitcher Bryan Abreu. Dylan Moore scores. Miles Mastrobuoni scores.3–4
8Christian Walker reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Dylan Moore. Jake Meyers scores. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.3–2
6Jose Altuve homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
5Ryan Bliss homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Dylan Moore scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
