Rangers at Cubs
Last play · Kevin Pillar grounds out sharply, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Cubs100%
TEX 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 6 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Cubs favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dansby Swanson singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Ian Happ scores. Kyle Tucker scores. Jon Berti to 2nd. (inning 8) — +34% Cubs
8Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a line drive to left fielder Kevin Pillar. Jon Berti scores. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Kevin Pillar to third baseman Josh Jung to second baseman Marcus Semien.6–10
8Dansby Swanson singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Ian Happ scores. Kyle Tucker scores. Jon Berti to 2nd.6–8
8Josh Jung triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Josh Smith scores.6–6
7Marcus Semien grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Justin Turner. Leody Taveras scores.5–6
7Leody Taveras triples (1) on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Josh Jung scores.4–6
5Nico Hoerner singles on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Kyle Tucker scores. Justin Turner scores.3–6
5Dansby Swanson out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Seiya Suzuki scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd. Justin Turner to 2nd.3–4
3Wyatt Langford homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
