Twins at Royals
Last play · Edouard Julien grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Royals100%
MIN 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 1 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Royals favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, first baseman Ty France to second baseman Mickey Gasper. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. (inning 8) — +29% Royals
8Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, first baseman Ty France to second baseman Mickey Gasper. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–2
5Harrison Bader singles on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Mark Canha. Ty France scores. Edouard Julien to 2nd.1–1
4Salvador Perez grounds into a force out, third baseman Jose F Miranda to second baseman Mickey Gasper. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Vinnie Pasquantino out at 2nd. Salvador Perez to 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
