Astros at Mariners
Last play · Ryan Bliss strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners0%
HOU 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 0 SEA
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Mariners favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Victor Caratini singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Brendan Rodgers scores. (inning 12) — -26% Astros
12Victor Caratini singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Brendan Rodgers scores.2–1
7Luke Raley singles on a ground ball to second baseman Brendan Rodgers, deflected by first baseman Christian Walker. Mitch Garver scores.1–1
7Cam Smith triples (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Yainer Diaz scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
