Orioles at D-backs
Last play · Heston Kjerstad grounds into a double play, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to second baseman Garrett Hampson to first baseman Josh Naylor. Tyler O'Neill out at 2nd. Heston Kjerstad out at 1st.
Win probability
D-backs100%
BAL 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 4 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
D-backs favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Naylor doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Garrett Hampson scores. Pavin Smith scores. (inning 5) — +25% D-backs
7Orioles challenged (tag-up play), call on the field was upheld: Orioles challenged (catch or drop), call on the field was upheld: Jackson Holliday lines out to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Cedric Mullins scores. Tyler O'Neill out at 3rd. Tyler O'Neill out at 3rd, catcher Gabriel Moreno to third baseman Eugenio Suárez to second baseman Garrett Hampson. Throwing error by left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr.3–4
5Josh Naylor doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Garrett Hampson scores. Pavin Smith scores.2–4
3Corbin Carroll homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
1Josh Naylor grounds into a double play, first baseman Ryan O'Hearn to shortstop Gunnar Henderson to pitcher Charlie Morton. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 3rd. Pavin Smith out at 2nd. Josh Naylor out at 1st.2–1
1Cedric Mullins singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Adley Rutschman scores. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Jordan Westburg to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
