Phillies at Braves
Last play · Sean Murphy strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves0%
PHI 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 0 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Braves favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryce Harper homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Trea Turner scores. (inning 7) — -40% Phillies
9Trea Turner homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.4–3
7Austin Riley homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.3–3
7Bryce Harper homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Trea Turner scores.3–2
6Michael Harris II out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Jarred Kelenic scores.1–2
6Orlando Arcia singles on a ground ball to left fielder Max Kepler. Sean Murphy scores. Jarred Kelenic to 3rd.1–1
6Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to second baseman Ozzie Albies. Max Kepler scores. J.T. Realmuto to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
