Marlins at Mets
Last play · Pete Alonso flies out sharply to center fielder Dane Myers.
Win probability
Mets0%
MIA 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 0 NYM
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 43.4% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -225
Mets favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Mervis singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Kyle Stowers scores. Jonah Bride to 2nd. (inning 5) — -16% Marlins
9Matt Mervis homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jonah Bride scores.5–0
9Jonah Bride singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Xavier Edwards scores.3–0
5Nick Fortes singles on a fly ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Jonah Bride scores. Matt Mervis to 3rd.2–0
5Matt Mervis singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Kyle Stowers scores. Jonah Bride to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
