Twins at Royals
Last play · Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out to first baseman Ty France.
Win probability
Royals0%
MIN 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 0 KC
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Royals favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Wallner homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 8) — -15% Twins
9Ty France homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.4–0
8Matt Wallner homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.3–0
6Ty France singles on a ground ball to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Carlos Correa scores. Trevor Larnach to 2nd.2–0
4Edouard Julien singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Carlos Correa scores. Trevor Larnach out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Hunter Renfroe to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to third baseman Maikel Garcia.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
