Blue Jays at Red Sox
Last play · Jarren Duran grounds out, second baseman Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
TOR 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 1 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Red Sox favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bo Bichette out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kristian Campbell. Ernie Clement scores. (inning 11) — -26% Blue Jays
11Bo Bichette out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kristian Campbell. Ernie Clement scores.2–1
1Alex Bregman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Nathan Lukes. Jarren Duran scores.1–1
1Will Wagner grounds out, second baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Triston Casas. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Anthony Santander to 3rd. Andrés Giménez to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
