Rangers at Cubs
Last play · Dansby Swanson flies out to right fielder Adolis García.
Win probability
Cubs0%
TEX 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 5 – 1 CHC
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Cubs favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonah Heim homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Kevin Pillar scores. (inning 5) — -27% Rangers
9Seiya Suzuki singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Ian Happ scores.6–2
7Corey Seager homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.6–1
5Adolis García singles on a fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Josh Jung scores.5–1
5Josh Jung doubles (2) on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Marcus Semien scores.4–1
5Jonah Heim homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Kevin Pillar scores.3–1
4Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Seiya Suzuki scores.1–1
1Corey Seager homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
