Phillies at Braves
Last play · Marcell Ozuna homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Austin Riley scores.
Win probability
Braves100%
PHI 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 1 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Braves favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Riley doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Ozzie Albies scores. (inning 11) — +44% Braves
11Marcell Ozuna homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Austin Riley scores.2–4
11Austin Riley doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Ozzie Albies scores.2–2
11Johan Rojas walks. Nick Castellanos scores. J.T. Realmuto to 3rd. Bryson Stott to 2nd.2–1
3Kyle Schwarber homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Matt Olson grounds out, first baseman Bryce Harper to pitcher Jesús Luzardo. Austin Riley scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
