Astros at Mariners
Last play · Randy Arozarena walks. Julio Rodríguez scores. Mitch Garver to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.
Win probability
Mariners100%
HOU 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 4 – 0 SEA
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Mariners favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Chas McCormick. Donovan Solano scores. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. J.P. Crawford to 3rd. (inning 9) — +49% Mariners
9Randy Arozarena walks. Julio Rodríguez scores. Mitch Garver to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.6–7
9Julio Rodríguez doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Chas McCormick. Donovan Solano scores. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. J.P. Crawford to 3rd.6–6
9Brendan Rodgers flies out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.6–4
8Randy Arozarena hits a grand slam (3) to left field. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. J.P. Crawford scores. Julio Rodríguez scores.5–4
8Yordan Alvarez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Cam Smith scores.5–0
3Brendan Rodgers walks. Christian Walker scores. Jeremy Peña to 3rd. Victor Caratini to 2nd.4–0
2Jose Altuve singles on a ground ball to third baseman Dylan Moore. Jake Meyers scores. Cam Smith to 2nd.3–0
2Cam Smith singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Victor Caratini scores. Jake Meyers to 3rd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
