Blue Jays at Red Sox
Last play · Trevor Story grounds out softly, second baseman Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. David Hamilton scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd. Triston Casas to 2nd. Trevor Story out at 1st.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
TOR 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 0 BOS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Red Sox favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to center fielder Myles Straw. Blake Sabol scores. (inning 10) — +44% Red Sox
10Trevor Story grounds out softly, second baseman Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. David Hamilton scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd. Triston Casas to 2nd. Trevor Story out at 1st.3–4
10Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to center fielder Myles Straw. Blake Sabol scores.3–3
10George Springer out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Andrés Giménez scores.3–2
8Triston Casas flies out to left fielder Davis Schneider.2–2
7Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds into a force out, second baseman Kristian Campbell to shortstop Trevor Story. Myles Straw scores. Tyler Heineman out at 2nd. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by shortstop Trevor Story.2–1
7Tyler Heineman singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Will Wagner scores. Myles Straw to 3rd.1–1
6Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to left fielder Alan Roden. Jarren Duran scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
