Royals at Guardians
Last play · Drew Waters lines out to center fielder Angel Martínez.
Win probability
Guardians100%
KC 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Guardians favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Arias homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Kyle Manzardo scores. Jhonkensy Noel scores. (inning 4) — +29% Guardians
8Carlos Santana singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez to 2nd.0–7
8José Ramírez reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Jonathan India. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd.0–6
8Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to left fielder Drew Waters. Austin Hedges scores. Brayan Rocchio to 2nd.0–5
8Angel Martínez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Nolan Jones scores.0–4
4Gabriel Arias homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Kyle Manzardo scores. Jhonkensy Noel scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
