Angels at Astros
Last play · Kevin Newman pops out to second baseman Mauricio Dubón.
Win probability
Astros100%
LAA 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 2 – 7 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yainer Diaz hits a grand slam (1) to left center field. Yordan Alvarez scores. Christian Walker scores. Jeremy Peña scores. (inning 5) — +22% Astros
8Isaac Paredes homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.3–14
8Cam Smith homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Jake Meyers scores.3–13
8Jorge Soler singles on a ground ball to third baseman Isaac Paredes. Taylor Ward scores. Luis Rengifo to 3rd.3–11
6Cam Smith singles on a line drive to center fielder Jo Adell. Yainer Diaz scores. Jake Meyers to 3rd. Cam Smith to 2nd. Cam Smith advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by center fielder Jo Adell.2–11
6Yainer Diaz doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jo Adell. Christian Walker scores.2–10
6Jeremy Peña out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Taylor Ward. Yordan Alvarez scores.2–9
5Yainer Diaz hits a grand slam (1) to left center field. Yordan Alvarez scores. Christian Walker scores. Jeremy Peña scores.2–7
5Christian Walker singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Isaac Paredes scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
